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LINK/USDT · 1D · 11 Oct 2026
Chainlink (LINK) price analysis — daily chart
Key levels
Level
Price
From price
Role
Swing high
14.93
+12.4%
swing, read edge
Resistance
14.30
+7.7%
calendar, sr
2-TF resistance
14.17
+6.6%
confluent, sr
2-TF resistance
13.67
+2.9%
confluent, order block
Golden pocket
13.41
+1.0%
golden pocket, hvn
2-TF support
13.25
-0.3%
confluent, calendar
Order block
13.12
-1.2%
order block, fib
Golden pocket
12.59
-5.3%
golden pocket, order block
2-TF support
12.07
-9.2%
confluent, sr
Executive Summary
No side has taken control: the market is in transition, and nothing has separated enough to settle it yet. The 4-hour chart has already turned down — often the first sign of a pullback. Bitcoin's daily chart is ranging — range edges have held more often than they have broken. What argues for higher: price is above the yearly open. What argues for lower: a strong break of structure — the move through the last swing low carried 1.33x an average bar (strong BOS), and the uptrend just lost its last higher low. No single reason settles it, but taken together the evidence leans lower (54% against 43%). Shorts are pressing a dip in an uptrend: new shorts are coming in as price falls while price is sitting on the floor at 13.25 — the floor decides whether they are early or trapped. Volume divergence — trend weakening. RSI bearish divergence — price made a higher high but momentum did not confirm (RSI lower at the second peak). An unmitigated demand block sits at 12.07–13.25. Price is sitting right on support 13.25, the lower edge it has to hold, with 13.67 as the ceiling. So this is patience: structure is shifting, and the first close and hold beyond 13.25 or 13.67 sets the next leg.
Key Levels
The ceiling is 13.67 (2-TF resistance) — until price closes and holds above it, rallies keep running into the same sellers. 13.25 (2-TF support) holds the downside; it is the level that has to break for the bear case to work. Beyond the box, the next levels are 14.30 (Resistance) above and 12.59 (Golden pocket) below.
Bull Case
This path is 43% and it starts with a close and hold above 13.67. That opens 14.30 (Resistance) then 14.93 (Swing high). It fails on a close and hold below 13.25.
Bear Case
This path is 54% and it starts with a close and hold below 13.25. That opens 12.59 (Golden pocket) then 12.07 (2-TF support). It fails on a close and hold above 13.67.
Sideways Case
At 3%, price keeps rejecting both edges of 13.25–13.67 and the range holds.
What to Watch Next
A dip below 13.25 that closes back above it traps those shorts — that is the squeeze case, back toward 13.67. A close below 13.25 that holds, with open interest still rising, means the shorts were right and the move continues down. The way to get this wrong: shorting into 13.25 after the crowd already has — wait for the close below it, or for the dip that fails.