| Level | Price | From price | Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| Resting liquidity | 1,682 | +34.2% | eq liq, read edge |
| Swing high | 1,595 | +27.3% | swing, bull target |
| 2-TF resistance | 1,284 | +2.5% | confluent, calendar |
| Fib retracement | 1,259 | +0.5% | fib |
| Support | 1,236 | -1.4% | sr, swing |
| Golden pocket | 1,171 | -6.6% | golden pocket, plan leg |
| 2-TF support | 1,110 | -11.5% | confluent, fib |
| Prior week low | 1,049 | -16.3% | calendar, sr |
| Fib retracement | 938 | -25.1% | fib, read edge |
The sweep is the story: on the last closed candle price took the stops above the 1,349 high and closed back inside — that is a trap, not a break. What argues for higher: the weekly trend is up, and price made a lower low but selling volume did not (bullish OBV divergence) — the dip is being bought. What argues for lower: the last small swing low undercut the one before it — on the bigger swings the lows are still rising. No single reason settles it, but where price sits in the box favors a break lower first (59% against 34%). Price poked over the high and closed back inside while longs were piling in — the longs who bought that pop are now offside under the 1,595 ceiling. The trend shows signs of exhaustion — stretched far from its average. Price was rejected back under the average price sold since the high (the swing-high anchored VWAP) — sellers from the high are back in control. The decision sits between 2-TF support 1,110 and swing high resistance 1,595.
The ceiling is 1,595 (Swing high) — until price closes and holds above it, rallies keep running into the same sellers. Below, 1,110 (2-TF support) is the floor — a close that holds under it and the structure opens up. Beyond the box, the next levels are 1,682 (Resting liquidity) above and 1,049 (Prior week low) below.
This path is 34% and it starts with a close and hold above 1,595. That opens 1,682 (Resting liquidity). It fails on a close and hold below 1,110.
At 59%, this needs a close and hold below 1,110. From there the road runs to 1,049 (Prior week low) then 938 (Fib retracement). It fails on a close and hold above 1,595.
At 7%, price keeps rejecting both edges of 1,110–1,595 and the range holds.
Staying under 1,595 keeps the flush live, with 1,110 the first stop. A close above 1,595 cancels the trap and hands control back to the longs. The way to get this wrong: buying the pop — the longs who just did that are the ones trapped under 1,595.
New to reading charts? Support and resistance · Market structure · How to read a crypto chart