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UNI/USDT · 1D · 16 Oct 2026

Uniswap (UNI) price analysis — daily chart

Key levels

LevelPriceFrom priceRole
Fib retracement8.347+11.7%fib, read edge
Swing high7.899+5.7%swing, plan leg
Swing high7.790+4.2%swing, read edge
2-TF resistance7.514+0.5%confluent, sr
2-TF support7.445-0.4%confluent, golden pocket
Swing low7.061-5.5%swing, plan leg
Order block6.998-6.4%order block, calendar
Support6.518-12.8%sr, read edge
Support5.843-21.8%sr, plan leg

Executive Summary

There is no committed direction here — the market is trending and the evidence has not resolved. Bitcoin's daily chart is ranging — range edges have held more often than they have broken. What argues for higher: the uptrend is intact — this is a pullback inside higher highs and higher lows. What argues for lower: open interest is falling as price rises — this rally is shorts covering, not fresh buying. The stronger case is lower: the break of structure and the positioning outweigh the trend — but not by enough to settle it yet, so the levels decide. The uptrend is intact but being tested — the small swings just turned lower — and the trend has one level to keep: 7.445. An imbalance (fair value gap) sits below at 6.577–7.061 — a range price moved through without trading, not yet revisited. So the uptrend is the frame: 7.445 holding keeps it intact, a close back above 7.514 restarts it, and a close below 7.445 breaks it.

Key Levels

The ceiling is 7.514 (2-TF resistance) — until price closes and holds above it, rallies keep running into the same sellers. 7.445 (2-TF support) holds the downside; it is the level that has to break for the bear case to work. Beyond the box, the next levels are 7.790 (Swing high) above and 6.998 (Order block) below.

Bull Case

At 39%, this needs a close and hold above 7.514. From there the road runs to 7.790 (Swing high) then 8.347 (Fib retracement). It fails on a close and hold below 7.445.

Bear Case

This path is 58% and it starts with a close and hold below 7.445. That opens 6.998 (Order block) then 6.518 (Support). It fails on a close and hold above 7.514.

Sideways Case

At 3%, price keeps rejecting both edges of 7.445–7.514 and the range holds.

What to Watch Next

Holding above 7.445 keeps this a pullback inside the uptrend. A close below 7.445 breaks the trend's last higher low — that is how trends end. The way to get this wrong: calling the uptrend over before its last higher low breaks — the challenge only counts on a close through it.

Updated 16 Oct 2026. Run a live Uniswap read →

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