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SOL/USDT · 1D · 23 Oct 2026

Solana (SOL) price analysis — daily chart

Key levels

LevelPriceFrom priceRole
2-TF resistance116.2+10.5%confluent, sr
Swing high113.4+7.9%swing
Fib retracement112.1+6.6%fib, read edge
Swing high110.8+5.4%swing
Prior week high (not retested)109.3+3.9%calendar, fib
Resistance108.9+3.5%sr, swing
Fib retracement105.9+0.7%fib, sr
2-TF support104.7-0.4%confluent, fib
3-TF support100.5-4.4%confluent, calendar

Executive Summary

SOL is in a 104.7–105.9 box, and price is drifting toward the 105.9 ceiling. Bitcoin's daily chart is ranging — range edges have held more often than they have broken. What argues for higher: the headline “Solana Alpenglow Goes Live in 'Most Ambitious' Upgrade Since…” helps the case for higher. What argues for lower: the last small swing low undercut the one before it — on the bigger swings the lows are still rising. The stronger case is lower: the break of structure and the deep drop outweigh the news — but not by enough to settle it yet, so the levels decide. Longs are crowded and paying to stay in while price is drifting up toward the ceiling at 105.9 — longs this close to a ceiling are either early to a breakout or fuel for a flush, and the ceiling decides which. The total crypto market cap is down 2.3% over the last 24 hours.

Key Levels

105.9 (Fib retracement) caps the upside; a close that holds above it changes the picture. 104.7 (2-TF support) holds the downside; it is the level that has to break for the bear case to work. Beyond the box, the next levels are 110.8 (Swing high) above and 100.5 (3-TF support) below.

Bull Case

At 40%, this needs a close and hold above 105.9. That opens 110.8 (Swing high) then 113.4 (Swing high). It fails on a close and hold below 104.7.

Bear Case

This path is 53% and it starts with a close and hold below 104.7. That opens 100.5 (3-TF support) then 96.9 (Order block). It fails on a close and hold above 105.9.

Sideways Case

At 7%, price keeps rejecting both edges of 104.7–105.9 and the range holds.

What to Watch Next

A close above 105.9 that holds, with open interest still rising, means the longs were right and the move continues up. A poke above 105.9 that closes back below it traps those longs — that is the flush case, back toward 104.7. The way to get this wrong: buying into 105.9 after the crowd already has — wait for the close above it, or for the poke that fails.

Updated 23 Oct 2026. Run a live Solana read →

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