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AAVE/USDT · 1D · 2 Oct 2026
Aave (AAVE) price analysis — daily chart
Aave (AAVE) is trading at 183.0 on the 1D chart and is expanding between 162.3 and 208.2. A close and hold above 208.2 turns the read higher; a close and hold below 162.3 turns it lower.
Key levels
Level
Price
From price
Role
Resistance
249.0
+36.1%
sr, read edge
Swing high
232.2
+26.9%
swing, read edge
Resistance
208.2
+13.8%
sr, swing
Resistance
189.9
+3.8%
sr, plan leg
Resistance
186.4
+1.9%
sr, swing
Swing low
180.8
-1.2%
swing
Daily open
171.4
-6.3%
calendar, fib
Swing low
162.3
-11.3%
swing, invalidation
Prior week high
157.4
-14.0%
calendar, swing
Executive Summary
AAVE is trending up and the read leans with it — the level that decides whether it extends is 208.2, with 59% of the evidence behind it. This read follows the daily uptrend and expects it to continue until price closes and holds back through the edge that decides it. Open interest is rising as price rises — new longs are coming in, real fuel for the trend. Price is trading inside unmitigated supply 169.5–186.4 — sellers' zone until reclaimed. The decision sits between swing low support 162.3 and resistance 208.2. So this is continuation: pullbacks toward 162.3 are where the move has been bought, and 208.2 is the next objective. Against it, price is near resistance 186.4. The total crypto market cap is down 1.8% over the last 24 hours. The read holds while 208.2 is still being fought over, and fails on a close and hold below 162.3.
Key Levels
208.2 (Resistance) caps the upside; a close that holds above it changes the picture. Below, 162.3 (Swing low) is the floor — a close that holds under it and the structure opens up. Beyond the box, the next levels are 232.2 (Swing high) above and 157.4 (Prior week high) below.
Bull Case
At 62%, this needs a close and hold above 208.2. That opens 232.2 (Swing high) then 249.0 (Resistance). It fails on a close and hold below 162.3.
Bear Case
This path is 31% and it starts with a close and hold below 162.3. That opens 157.4 (Prior week high) then 150.5 (Fib retracement). What backs it: the total crypto market cap is down 1.8% over the last 24 hours. Price is inside a bearish order block at 169.5–186.4. It fails on a close and hold above 208.2.
Sideways Case
At 7%, price keeps rejecting both edges of 162.3–208.2 and the range holds. What backs it: late in the trend and stretched far from its average — the move is extended.
What to Watch Next
Above 208.2 the next stops are 232.2 and then 249.0; below 162.3 the read is wrong. The way to get this wrong: trusting the lean while the chart's own setup — expansion — points the other way; only a close past an edge settles it.
