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HBAR/USDT · 1D · 18 Oct 2026
Hedera (HBAR) price analysis — daily chart
Key levels
Level
Price
From price
Role
Resistance
0.09674
+11.4%
sr, eq liq
Resistance
0.09274
+6.8%
sr, swing
Volume POC
0.09078
+4.6%
poc, fib
Golden pocket
0.08976
+3.4%
golden pocket, calendar
Resistance
0.08802
+1.4%
sr
2-TF resistance
0.08723
+0.5%
confluent, calendar
Prior day high
0.08585
-1.1%
calendar, fib
2-TF support
0.08215
-5.4%
confluent, calendar
2-TF support
0.07715
-11.1%
confluent, naked poc
Executive Summary
HBAR is in an uptrend, making higher highs and higher lows — 0.08 is the floor that keeps it. What argues for higher: price climbed back inside the range it had broken down from — the breakdown failed, and the heaviest-traded price sits above at 0.09 (volume POC) — price tends to be drawn back to it. What argues for lower: open interest is rising as price falls — new shorts are coming in, real fuel for the move down. The stronger case is lower: the positioning and the break of structure outweigh the failed breakdown — but not by enough to settle it yet, so the levels decide. Price is back at the 0.08 ceiling — a ceiling either caps price and sends it back across the box, or breaks on a close above it. On the daily chart, boxes like this have broken within about 4 candles, and 38% of first breaks closed back inside before reaching a target — so the close that holds matters more than the first poke. An imbalance (fair value gap) sits above at 0.08–0.08 — a range price moved through without trading, not yet revisited. Price is pressed right under resistance 0.08, the upper edge it has to clear, with 0.08 as the floor. So the uptrend is the frame: 0.08 holding keeps it intact, a close back above 0.08 restarts it, and a close below 0.08 breaks it.
Key Levels
The ceiling is 0.08 (2-TF resistance) — until price closes and holds above it, rallies keep running into the same sellers. Overhead is a band, not a line — 0.08 (Resistance) sits just above the ceiling 0.08, so a clean upside resolution has to clear the group. 0.08 (2-TF support) holds the downside; it is the level that has to break for the bear case to work. Beyond the box, the next levels are 0.09 (Resistance) above and 0.07 (2-TF support) below.
Bull Case
At 37%, this needs a close and hold above 0.08. That opens 0.09 (Resistance) then 0.09 (Resistance). It fails on a close and hold below 0.08.
Bear Case
This path is 60% and it starts with a close and hold below 0.08. From there the road runs to 0.07 (2-TF support) then 0.07 (Support). It fails on a close and hold above 0.08.
Sideways Case
At 3%, price keeps rejecting both edges of 0.08–0.08 and the range holds.
What to Watch Next
A rejection at 0.08 rotates price back toward 0.08. A close above 0.08 breaks the box. The way to get this wrong: treating the lean as a decision — the case leans lower, but it is not settled until a candle closes past an edge.
