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since the last readPrice has left the range the coin's last read drew.
Price has left the range the coin's last read drew.
No clean trend, mid-range — inverted gap capping price
A range — no side in control.
AAVE is in a range. There is no run of higher or lower swings to call a trend; price is boxed between 128.8 and 138.7.
The weekly picture: a recovery off the cycle low, 80% under the all-time high; on the daily, price is above the 200-day (108.2), and the 50-day is above the 200-day. The daily has no trend of its own.
Price is testing a fair-value gap at 129.7–139.4 from the other side. The gap was left by a rally, then price closed straight through it — an inversion: the gap is now above price instead of below it. A close back above 139.4 means the inversion failed.
On the daily chart, AAVE fell 39% to 115.1, then bounced to 140.9, and has since given back about a third of that bounce. It is now trading in a 128.8–138.7 box. The 138.7 ceiling has turned price back 4 times, counting all 2 timeframes.
An imbalance (fair value gap) sits above at 139.0–141.8 — a stretch price ran through one way, with little trade back and forth.
Sellers lean ahead, not decisively.
Inside the box the evidence is split. On the buyers' side: Price is above the average price paid since the swing low (anchored VWAP 120.1), so the buyers since that low are in profit. Even those who bought at the last top are back in profit (average since the swing high 123.4).
On the sellers' side: ADX is 26, a real trend, with sellers ahead (+DI 19, −DI 28). Volume flow backs it — more volume has traded on down candles than up (CMF -0.10). MACD is below its signal line, so the latest swing has downward momentum of its own. That split is what a range is: neither side has the evidence to take price out of it.
Everything else on the chart: RSI is 42, neutral — neither side's closes dominate. Price sits at the bottom edge of its 100-candle regression channel — as far from its own average path as it gets. The averages are split: price is above the 200 EMA (the 20 under the 50), but under the Ichimoku cloud.
Volume is 1.7× normal.
A high-volume price that price has not revisited (a naked POC) sits below at 90.51; and another above at 146.81; value is migrating up (+19.7%) — the prices where most volume trades are moving higher; price is spending time inside value — the market is accepting these prices.
The last candle left a long upper wick at 138.7 — sellers stepped in and pushed it back down.
Each up candle is smaller than the last — the push is losing steam.
128.8 below and 138.7 above decide it.
128.8 is the floor; price has not tested it on this chart yet.
138.7 is the ceiling, and it is contested: it held 2 of 5 visits. It is also the 0.382 retracement of the chart's whole range and the prior week high.
136.6, a resistance 2.3% above price: sellers turned price there on 3 of 6 visits; it lines up with the 0.382 retracement of the chart's whole range.
134.6, a resistance 0.8% above price: sellers turned price there on 5 of 8 visits; it lines up with the monthly open.
The long-term lines: the 200-day average at 108.2 (−19.0%), the 50-day average at 150.3 (+12.6%), the yearly open at 146.1 (+9.4%), the quarterly open at 159.5 (+19.4%) and last year's range 80.98–386.1.
133.2, the prior day low 0.3% below price: buyers turned price there on 5 of 8 visits; it lines up with the monthly open.
The last swing high at 160.5, not yet taken — the kind of spot where stop orders usually sit just above.
The last swing low at 113.2, not yet taken — stops sit just below.
128.8 is the level on the most timeframes — 2 timeframes (4H/1H), 3 touches; an order block sits at the same price.
Measured on the last drop from 187.9 to 115.1, price has given back 25% of it — a shallow bounce. The golden pocket, 160.1–162.4, is where the 0.618 retracement of that drop sits. Its extensions mark 95.32 (1.272) and 70.15 (1.618) below.
140.3 is where two separate tools meet: the 0.382 Fibonacci level of the last swing and a resistance.
95.01–99.21 is a fresh demand zone: price fell into it, paused, then rallied hard (4.8 average candles in one move); price has not been back since.
The nearest round numbers: 150.0 above and 125.0 below.
A 1D close past 138.7 or 128.8 changes the picture.
A 1D close above 138.7 breaks the range's ceiling; no tested level above it on this chart.
A 1D close below 128.8 breaks the range's floor; no tested level below it on this chart.
Watch for this: a 1D close back above 139.4 means the inversion failed.
The common misread: reading moves in the middle of the box as signals — the read only changes at 128.8 or 138.7.
Since the last read: the range from earlier today is still holding — unchanged.
| Level | Price | From price | Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2-TF resistance | 138.7 | +3.8% | confluent, fib |
| Resistance | 136.6 | +2.3% | sr, swing |
| Resistance | 134.6 | +0.8% | calendar, sr |
| Prior day low | 133.2 | -0.3% | calendar, sr |
| Fib retracement | 132.0 | -1.2% | fib, sr |
| Swing low | 130.8 | -2.0% | swing |
| Order block | 129.7 | -2.9% | order block, fib |
| 2-TF support | 128.8 | -3.6% | confluent, sr |
| Golden pocket | 126.5 | -5.3% | golden pocket, hvn |
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