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since the last readPrice has left the range the coin's last read drew.
Price has left the range the coin's last read drew.
No clean trend, at support — squeeze releasing down
A range — no side in control.
LTC is in a range, inside a weekly downtrend. There is no run of higher or lower swings to call a trend; price is boxed between 55.00 and 56.16.
The weekly picture: a weekly downtrend, 87% under the all-time high; on the daily, price is above the 200-day (52.20), and the 50-day is above the 200-day. The daily has no trend of its own.
The squeeze just released downward — volatility had been coiled and the first expansion bar is down.
LTC rose 10% to 72.28 on the daily chart, then gave it all back, dropping 27% to 52.84. It is now pinned in a tight 55.00–56.16 band, pressing on the floor.
The daily structure had been coiling — lower highs pressing down on higher lows — until price broke the 65.65 swing low 3 weeks ago and has stayed under it. An imbalance (fair value gap) sits below at 51.79–53.91 — a stretch price ran through one way, with little trade back and forth.
Inside the box the evidence is split. On the buyers' side: Price is above the average price paid since the swing low (anchored VWAP 55.00), so the buyers since that low are in profit. Volume flow backs it — more volume has traded on up candles than down (CMF +0.14, OBV falling).
On the sellers' side: ADX is 32, a real trend, with sellers ahead (+DI 14, −DI 29). Price is under every average that matters: the Ichimoku cloud and the 200 EMA (the 20 under the 50). RSI is 39: sellers have had the stronger closes. That split is what a range is: neither side has the evidence to take price out of it.
Everything else on the chart: MACD is below its signal line, so the latest swing has downward momentum of its own. Everyone who bought since the last top is still losing (average since the swing high 64.87). The squeeze released 1 candle ago, down — volatility is expanding again. Price sits at the bottom edge of its 100-candle regression channel — as far from its own average path as it gets.
Volume is 0.5× normal — unusually light; volume is fading — fewer traders are taking part.
A high-volume price that price has not revisited (a naked POC) sits below at 44.96; value is migrating up (+16.1%) — the prices where most volume trades are moving higher; price is spending time inside value — the market is accepting these prices.
56.16 is the line it has to clear.
56.16 is where sellers keep showing up: it held 11 of 17 visits, on 3.4× the usual volume. It is also the weekly open.
56.77, a fib retracement 2.8% above price: sellers turned price there on 9 of 14 visits, on 2.7× the usual volume; it lines up with the 0.5 retracement of the chart's whole range.
55.71, the volume POC 0.9% above price: sellers turned price there on 11 of 16 visits, on 4.0× the usual volume; it lines up with the anchored VWAP from the swing low.
The long-term lines: the 200-day average at 52.20 (−5.5%), the 50-day average at 61.72 (+11.8%), the yearly open at 76.86 (+39.2%), the quarterly open at 67.26 (+21.8%) and last year's range 51.73–141.1.
54.72, the 2-TF support 0.9% below price: buyers turned price there on 8 of 16 visits, on 4.4× the usual volume; it lines up with the anchored VWAP from the swing low.
The last swing high at 59.86, not yet taken — the kind of spot where stop orders usually sit just above.
2 equal lows at 50.17, not yet taken — stops sit just below.
59.46 is the level on the most timeframes — 3 timeframes (1D/4H/1H), 3 touches; an order block sits at the same price.
Measured on the running drop from 72.28 to 52.84, price has given back 12% of it — a shallow bounce. The golden pocket, 64.85–65.48, is where the 0.618 retracement of that drop sits. Its extensions mark 47.55 (1.272) and 40.83 (1.618) below.
65.50 is where two separate tools meet: the 0.618 Fibonacci level of the last swing and a resistance.
50.14–51.69 is a fresh demand zone: price fell into it, paused, then rallied hard (2.7 average candles in one move); price has not been back since.
64.02–64.85 is a fresh supply zone: price rallied into it, paused, then dropped hard (2 average candles in one move); price has not been back since.
A bearish breaker block at 58.78–64.63: an old order block that price has since broken through.
The nearest round numbers: 60.00 above and 50.00 below.
A 3-touch support trendline broke and was retested — the line is now near 59.54.
A 1D close past 56.16 or 55.00 changes the picture.
A 1D close above 56.16 breaks the range's ceiling; no tested level above it on this chart.
A 1D close below 55.00 breaks the range's floor; no tested level below it on this chart.
Wait for a 1D close above 56.16 or below 55.00.
Since the last read: the range from earlier today is still holding — unchanged.
| Level | Price | From price | Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| Order block | 58.17 | +5.3% | order block, fib |
| Golden pocket | 57.50 | +4.1% | golden pocket, swing |
| Fib retracement | 56.77 | +2.8% | fib, sr |
| 3-TF resistance | 56.16 | +1.7% | confluent, calendar |
| Volume POC | 55.71 | +0.9% | poc, calendar |
| Prior day low | 55.00 | -0.4% | calendar, sr |
| 2-TF support | 54.72 | -0.9% | confluent, sr |
| Support | 53.68 | -2.8% | sr, swing |
| 2-TF support | 52.84 | -4.3% | confluent, golden pocket |
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