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since the last readPrice has left the range the coin's last read drew.
Price has left the range the coin's last read drew.
No clean trend, at support — sell-off stretched, 10-candle count
A range — no side in control.
MNT is in a range, inside a weekly downtrend. There is no run of higher or lower swings to call a trend, and ADX is 24 — under the 25 where a trend is real; price is boxed between 0.4720 and 0.4879.
The weekly picture: a weekly downtrend, 84% under the cycle high; on the daily, price is below the 200-day (0.5457), and the 50-day is above the 200-day. The daily trend runs against the weekly.
10 straight candles have closed below the close four candles before — an exhaustion count (TD-style): a measure of how long the run has gone without a pause, not a reversal on its own.
MNT rose 33% to 0.7157 on the daily chart, then gave it all back, dropping 36% to 0.4608. It is now pinned in a tight 0.4720–0.4879 band, pressing on the floor.
The daily structure was an uptrend — higher highs and higher lows — until price closed under the 0.5376 higher low. Beyond the box, the next tested levels are 0.5899 above and 0.4569 below. An imbalance (fair value gap) sits below at 0.4430–0.4511 — a stretch price ran through one way, with little trade back and forth.
Trend change — just broken at 0.5376. It confirms if price stays below 0.5376. A close above 0.5546 cancels it.
The evidence sits on the sellers' side. Price is under the average price paid since the swing low (anchored VWAP 0.5488), so the buyers since that low are under water. Volume flow backs it — more volume has traded on down candles than up (CMF -0.13). Price is under every average that matters: the Ichimoku cloud and the 200 EMA (the 20 under the 50). So far it has not been enough to move price out of the box.
The trend is weak — ADX 24, under the 25 where a trend is real, with sellers only slightly ahead (−DI 28, +DI 16) — this is a box, not a trend.
Everything else on the chart: RSI is 32: sellers have had the stronger closes. MACD is below its signal line, so the latest swing has downward momentum of its own. Everyone who bought since the last top is still losing (average since the swing high 0.7356).
Volume is 0.5× normal — unusually light; volume is fading — fewer traders are taking part.
A high-volume price that price has not revisited (a naked POC) sits below at 0.4009; and another above at 0.6680; value is migrating up (+10.4%) — the prices where most volume trades are moving higher.
0.4879 is the line it has to clear.
0.4879 is the ceiling, but it has given way about as often as it held — 1 of 4 visits. It is also a swing high.
0.4939, a fib retracement 4.1% above price: it gave way on 3 of 3 visits, on thin volume — little traded there.
The long-term lines: the 200-day average at 0.5457 (+15.1%), the 50-day average at 0.5791 (+22.1%), the yearly open at 0.9638 (+103.2%), the quarterly open at 0.6973 (+47.0%) and last year's range 0.5524–2.878.
0.4780, an order block 0.8% above price: it gave way on 2 of 2 visits, on thin volume — little traded there; it lines up with the monthly open.
0.4720, the 2-TF support 0.5% below price: it gave way on 2 of 3 visits, on thin volume — little traded there; it lines up with the monthly open.
The last swing high at 0.5395, not yet taken — the kind of spot where stop orders usually sit just above.
The last swing low at 0.4232, not yet taken — stops sit just below.
0.5388 is the level on the most timeframes — 2 timeframes (4H/1H), 4 touches; an order block and resting liquidity sit at the same price.
Measured on the running drop from 0.7157 to 0.4608, price has given back 5% of it — a shallow bounce. The golden pocket, 0.6183–0.6265, is where the 0.618 retracement of that drop sits. Its extensions mark 0.3915 (1.272) and 0.3033 (1.618) below.
0.5940 is where two separate tools meet: the 0.5 Fibonacci level of the last swing and a resistance.
0.4394–0.4482 is a fresh demand zone: price fell into it, paused, then rallied hard (3.4 average candles in one move); price has not been back since.
0.5138–0.5197 is a fresh supply zone: price rallied into it, paused, then dropped hard (2.1 average candles in one move); price has not been back since.
A bearish breaker block at 0.5376–0.5823: an old order block that price has since broken through.
The nearest round numbers: 0.5000 above and 0.4000 below.
A 3-touch support trendline broke and was retested — the line is now near 0.5346.
A 1D close past 0.4879 or 0.4700 changes the picture.
A 1D close above 0.4879 breaks the range's ceiling; no tested level above it on this chart.
A 1D close below 0.4700 breaks the range's floor; no tested level below it on this chart.
Wait for a 1D close above 0.4879 or below 0.4720.
Since the last read: the range from earlier today is still holding — unchanged, defending the 0.4663 support.
| Level | Price | From price | Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fib retracement | 0.5899 | +24.4% | fib, sr |
| Fib retracement | 0.5062 | +6.7% | fib, sr |
| Order block | 0.4996 | +5.3% | order block, fib |
| Fib retracement | 0.4939 | +4.1% | fib |
| Swing high | 0.4879 | +2.9% | swing, read edge |
| Order block | 0.4780 | +0.8% | order block, calendar |
| 2-TF support | 0.4720 | -0.5% | confluent, calendar |
| 3-TF support | 0.4663 | -1.7% | confluent, sr |
| Prior week low (not retested) | 0.4608 | -2.8% | calendar, sr |
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