MORPHO/USDT · 1D · 2 Nov 2026
Morpho (MORPHO) price analysis — daily chart
Morpho (MORPHO) is at 2.219 on the 1D chart. MORPHO is in a range, inside a weekly uptrend. There is no run of higher or lower swings to call a trend, and ADX is 16 — under the 25 where a trend is real; price is boxed between 2.196 and 2.232.
No clean trend, at support — testing a 3-touch falling trendline
Where MORPHO is
A range — no side in control.
MORPHO is in a range, inside a weekly uptrend. There is no run of higher or lower swings to call a trend, and ADX is 16 — under the 25 where a trend is real; price is boxed between 2.196 and 2.232.
The weekly picture: a recovery off the cycle low, 56% under the cycle high; on the daily, price is above the 200-day (2.138), and the 50-day is above the 200-day. The daily has no trend of its own.
Price is back on the falling trendline that has capped it 3 times over 37 days — it sits at 2.343 on this candle. A close over 2.343 breaks the line; a rejection here is the line doing its job again. It does not stand alone: a broken trendline, the 50 EMA and the 0.382 fib of the last swing sit at the same price.
On the daily chart, MORPHO fell 34% to 1.960, then bounced to 2.426, and has since given back about half of that bounce. It is now pinned in a tight 2.196–2.232 band. The 2.232 ceiling has turned price back 5 times, counting all 2 timeframes.
The daily structure is widening — a higher high and a lower low, swings in both directions. It now spans the 2.985 high to the 1.960 low — each push goes further than the last, so neither side is in control until one of them gives way. Price is inside a bullish order block at 2.061–2.187 — the last place buyers stepped in with size, and this is the first time price has come back to it. Beyond the box, the next tested levels are 2.284 above and 2.138 below.
Who's behind the move
Sellers lean ahead, not decisively.
Inside the box the evidence is split. On the buyers' side: Price is above the average price paid since the swing low (anchored VWAP 2.070), so the buyers since that low are in profit. Volume flow backs it — more volume has traded on up candles than down (CMF +0.15, OBV falling). MACD is above its signal line, so the latest swing has upward momentum of its own.
On the sellers' side: Hidden bearish divergence on OBV: the bounce lifted momentum past its last high without lifting price there — effort without result. Everyone who bought since the last top is still losing (average since the swing high 2.391). That split is what a range is: neither side has the evidence to take price out of it.
The trend is weak — ADX 16, under the 25 where a trend is real, with sellers only slightly ahead (−DI 22, +DI 22) — this is a box, not a trend.
Everything else on the chart: RSI is 47, neutral — neither side's closes dominate. Volatility is coiled — a TTM squeeze (Bollinger Bands inside the Keltner Channels) has run 2 candles, with momentum inside it pointing down. The averages are split: price is above the 200 EMA (the 20 under the 50), but under the Ichimoku cloud.
Volume is 1.5× normal.
A high-volume price that price has not revisited (a naked POC) sits below at 1.94; and another above at 2.56; value is migrating down (-2.7%) — the prices where most volume trades are moving lower; price is spending time inside value — the market is accepting these prices.
The levels on the chart
2.395, the 2-TF resistance 8.0% above price: sellers turned price there on 5 of 9 visits; it lines up with the anchored VWAP from the swing high.
2.284, the 2-TF resistance 2.9% above price: sellers turned price there on 6 of 10 visits; it lines up with the 0.5 retracement of the chart's whole range.
The long-term lines: the 200-day average at 2.138 (−3.7%), the 50-day average at 2.422 (+9.2%), the yearly open at 1.092 (−50.8%), the quarterly open at 2.494 (+12.4%) and last year's range 0.5219–4.189.
2.232, the 2-TF resistance 0.6% above price: sellers turned price there on 8 of 11 visits; it lines up with the 20 EMA.
The last swing high at 2.568, not yet taken — the kind of spot where stop orders usually sit just above.
The last swing low at 1.912, not yet taken — stops sit just below.
2.11 is the level on the most timeframes — 2 timeframes (1D/1H), 4 touches; an order block and the 0.618 golden pocket sit at the same price.
Measured on the last drop from 2.985 to 1.960, price has given back 25% of it — a shallow bounce. The golden pocket, 2.593–2.626, is where the 0.618 retracement of that drop sits. Its extensions mark 1.682 (1.272) and 1.328 (1.618) below.
2.191 is where two separate tools meet: the 0.236 Fibonacci level of the last swing and a support.
2.061–2.216 is a demand zone: price fell into it, paused, then rallied hard (2.1 average candles in one move); it has been tested 9× since.
2.707–2.803 is a fresh supply zone: price rallied into it, paused, then dropped hard (2.3 average candles in one move); price has not been back since.
The nearest round numbers: 2.500 above and 2.000 below.
Triple top — still forming, measured move 1.178.
Pattern on the chart: inside bar (printed).
What to watch
A 1D close past 2.227 or 2.196 changes the picture.
A 1D close above 2.227 breaks the range's ceiling; no tested level above it on this chart.
A 1D close below 2.193 breaks the range's floor; no tested level below it on this chart.
How to use it
Watch for this: a 1D close over 2.343 breaks the line.
Since the last read: the range from earlier today is still holding — unchanged, defending the 2.196 support.
Key levels
| Level | Price | From price | Role |
|---|
| 2-TF resistance | 2.395 | +8.0% | confluent, sr |
| Resistance | 2.297 | +3.5% | sr |
| 2-TF resistance | 2.284 | +2.9% | confluent, fib |
| Daily open | 2.242 | +1.0% | calendar, fib |
| 2-TF resistance | 2.232 | +0.6% | confluent, calendar |
| 2-TF support | 2.196 | -1.0% | confluent, fib |
| Volume shelf | 2.172 | -2.1% | hvn, swing |
| Golden pocket | 2.138 | -3.6% | golden pocket, sr |
| Volume POC | 1.975 | -11.0% | poc, calendar |
Updated 2 Nov 2026. Run a live Morpho read →
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