NEAR/USDT · 1D · 2 Nov 2026
NEAR (NEAR) price analysis — daily chart
NEAR (NEAR) is at 4.144 on the 1D chart. NEAR is in a trend that has just cracked, against a weekly uptrend. The old trend has lost its last swing — the first sign of a turn, not a new trend yet.
Turning down, at resistance — first crack in the uptrend
Where NEAR is
A trend that has just cracked.
NEAR is in a trend that has just cracked, against a weekly uptrend. The old trend has lost its last swing — the first sign of a turn, not a new trend yet.
The weekly picture: a weekly uptrend, 80% under the all-time high; on the daily, price is above the 200-day (2.536), and the 50-day is above the 200-day. The daily trend runs with the weekly.
Structure changed character down 3 candles ago: price closed below the 4.429 higher low, the first break against the uptrend. One change of character is a warning, not a turn — it needs a lower high and a second break to count. A close back above 4.429 undoes it. It does not stand alone: the breakout's VWAP, the 50 EMA and the monthly open sit at the same price.
NEAR's uptrend on the daily chart just lost its last higher low at 4.429 — the first sign of a turn, not a new trend yet. It rose 40% to 6.028, then dropped 35%, all the way back to 3.912. The 3.912 floor has caught price 3 times, counting all 2 timeframes.
The daily structure was an uptrend — higher highs and higher lows — until price closed under the 4.446 higher low. A head & shoulders is complete on the chart, pointing to 3.482; it is cancelled on a move above 6.130.
Head and shoulders — neckline broken at 6.130. . What confirms it: the neckline break holding. A close above 6.130 cancels it.
Trend change — first retest at 4.446. It confirms if price stays below 4.446. A close above 4.773 cancels it.
Who's behind the move
The break has backing. Hidden bearish divergence on RSI: the bounce lifted momentum past its last high without lifting price there — effort without result. Volume flow backs it — more volume has traded on down candles than up (CMF -0.08). MACD is below its signal line, so the latest swing has downward momentum of its own.
What doesn't fit: The trend is weak — ADX 23, under the 25 where a trend is real, with sellers only slightly ahead (−DI 22, +DI 15). Price is above the average price paid since the swing low (anchored VWAP 2.744), so the buyers since that low are in profit. Price is above the 200 EMA, with the 20 EMA above the 50. These are the weak spots in the turn.
The rest of the chart points the same way. Everyone who bought since the last top is still losing (average since the swing high 4.802). RSI is 45, neutral — neither side's closes dominate.
A high-volume price that price has not revisited (a naked POC) sits below at 1.90; and another above at 4.98; value is migrating up (+62.5%) — the prices where most volume trades are moving higher; price is moving through value quickly — the market is not accepting these prices.
The levels on the chart
3.912 below and 4.282 above decide it.
3.912 is the floor, and it is contested: it held 1 of 2 visits. It is also the prior week low.
4.282 is where sellers keep showing up: it held 2 of 3 visits, and the turns there ran 26.6% within 5 candles. It is also the 0.382 retracement of the chart's whole range and the 50 EMA.
4.360, a fib retracement 5.2% above price: sellers turned price there on 2 of 3 visits; it lines up with the 0.382 retracement of the chart's whole range.
4.232, the prior day low 2.1% above price: sellers turned price there on 2 of 3 visits, on thin volume — little traded there; it lines up with the 0.382 retracement of the chart's whole range.
The long-term lines: the 200-day average at 2.536 (−38.8%), the 50-day average at 4.558 (+10.0%), the yearly open at 1.514 (−63.5%), the quarterly open at 5.339 (+28.8%) and last year's range 1.406–6.233.
4.097, a support 1.1% below price: buyers turned price there on 1 of 2 visits, on thin volume — little traded there.
The last swing high at 4.814, not yet taken — the kind of spot where stop orders usually sit just above.
2 equal highs at 5.517, not yet taken — stops sit just above.
3.91 is the level on the most timeframes — 2 timeframes (4H/1H), 3 touches; an order block and resting liquidity sit at the same price.
Measured on the running drop from 6.028 to 3.912, price has given back 11% of it — a shallow bounce. The golden pocket, 5.217–5.285, is where the 0.618 retracement of that drop sits. Its extensions mark 3.329 (1.272) and 2.595 (1.618) below.
1.807 is where two separate tools meet: the 2 Fibonacci level of the last swing and a support.
2.269–2.469 is a fresh demand zone: price fell into it, paused, then rallied hard (3.4 average candles in one move); price has not been back since.
The nearest round numbers: 5.000 above and 4.000 below.
Pattern on the chart: head & shoulders (confirmed), measured move 3.482, fails past 6.130.
What to watch
A 1D close past 4.282 or 3.912 changes the picture.
Turning down — the first break against the old trend; it holds while price stays under 4.446.
A 1D close above 4.288 breaks back above the level the turn started from; no tested level above it on this chart.
A 1D close below 3.906 loses the floor inside a downtrend — a new low in the trend's direction; no tested level below it on this chart.
How to use it
Watch for this: a 1D close back above 4.429 undoes it.
Since the last read: still in a downtrend, unchanged over the last 2 days, the box has tightened to 3.912–4.282 since last read.
Key levels
| Level | Price | From price | Role |
|---|
| 2-TF resistance | 4.508 | +8.8% | confluent, sr |
| Golden pocket | 4.467 | +7.8% | golden pocket, calendar |
| Monthly open | 4.429 | +6.9% | calendar, swing |
| Fib retracement | 4.360 | +5.2% | fib, sr |
| 2-TF resistance | 4.282 | +3.3% | confluent, calendar |
| Prior day low | 4.232 | +2.1% | calendar, fib |
| Support | 4.097 | -1.1% | sr |
| 2-TF support | 3.912 | -5.6% | confluent, calendar |
| Fib retracement | 3.783 | -8.7% | fib |
Updated 2 Nov 2026. Run a live NEAR read →
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