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since the last readPrice has left the range the coin's last read drew.
Price has left the range the coin's last read drew.
No clean trend, at support — first retest of the 116.2 breakdown
A range — no side in control.
OKB is in a range, inside a weekly uptrend. There is no run of higher or lower swings to call a trend, and ADX is 21 — under the 25 where a trend is real; price is boxed between 111.9 and 114.2.
The weekly picture: a recovery off the cycle low, 56% under the all-time high; on the daily, price is above the 200-day (95.52), and the 50-day is above the 200-day. The daily trend runs with the weekly.
Price broke below 116.2 15 days ago, ran to 106.0, and is now back testing 116.2 from below for the first time — the old support has to hold as resistance. The first retest is where a breakout proves itself; a close back over 116.2 means it failed.
OKB rose 23% to 143.3 on the daily chart, then gave it all back, dropping 26% to 106.0, and has since won back a little of that pullback. It is now pinned in a tight 111.9–114.2 band.
The daily structure was an uptrend — higher highs and higher lows — until price closed under the 116.2 higher low. Beyond the box, the next tested levels are 117.5 above and 110.7 below. Price is just below the 0.382 retracement of the last up-move, at 113.7 — the pullback has already gone through it.
Trend change — first retest at 116.2. It confirms if price stays below 116.2. A close above 119.4 cancels it.
Neither side is in control.
Inside the box the evidence is split. On the buyers' side: Price is above the average price paid since the swing low (anchored VWAP 95.40), so the buyers since that low are in profit. MACD is above its signal line, so the latest swing has upward momentum of its own.
On the sellers' side: Everyone who bought since the last top is still losing (average since the swing high 120.9). That split is what a range is: neither side has the evidence to take price out of it.
The trend is weak — ADX 21, under the 25 where a trend is real, with sellers only slightly ahead (−DI 22, +DI 21) — this is a box, not a trend.
Everything else on the chart: RSI is 49, neutral — neither side's closes dominate. Volume flow is flat (CMF -0.00) — volume is not taking a side. The averages are split: price is above the 200 EMA (the 20 under the 50), but under the Ichimoku cloud.
Pullback volume is drying up — the dip is drawing little selling.
A high-volume price that price has not revisited (a naked POC) sits below at 85.66; and another above at 120.27; value is migrating up (+13.8%) — the prices where most volume trades are moving higher; price is spending time inside value — the market is accepting these prices.
111.9 below and 114.2 above decide it.
111.9 is the floor, and it is contested: it held 8 of 15 visits, on 2.2× the usual volume.
114.2 is where sellers keep showing up: it held 14 of 15 visits, on 2.2× the usual volume, and the turns there ran 9.4% within 5 candles. It is also the 0.382 retracement of the chart's whole range and the 20 EMA.
115.7, the 2-TF resistance 2.4% above price: sellers turned price there on 11 of 14 visits, on 1.8× the usual volume; it lines up with the prior week high.
114.5, a resistance 1.4% above price: sellers turned price there on 13 of 14 visits, on 2.2× the usual volume; it lines up with the 0.382 retracement of the chart's whole range.
The long-term lines: the 200-day average at 95.52 (−15.5%), the 50-day average at 117.9 (+4.3%), the yearly open at 109.7 (−2.9%), the quarterly open at 121.2 (+7.3%) and last year's range 38.00–258.6.
112.6, a fib retracement 0.4% below price: buyers turned price there on 7 of 13 visits, on 2.3× the usual volume; it lines up with the 0.382 retracement of the chart's whole range.
The last swing high at 117.7, not yet taken — the kind of spot where stop orders usually sit just above.
3 equal lows at 106.0, not yet taken — stops sit just below.
109.1 is the level on the most timeframes — 3 timeframes (1D/4H/1H), 4 touches; resting liquidity sits at the same price.
Measured on the running drop from 143.3 to 106.0, price has given back 19% of it — a shallow bounce. The golden pocket, 129.1–130.3, is where the 0.618 retracement of that drop sits. Its extensions mark 95.85 (1.272) and 82.94 (1.618) below.
82.79 is where two separate tools meet: the 1.618 Fibonacci level of the last swing and a support.
94.20–94.86 is a fresh demand zone: price paused there in the middle of a rally, then kept rising (3.2 average candles in one move); price has not been back since.
A bearish breaker block at 119.9–121.0: an old order block that price has since broken through.
The nearest round numbers: 125.0 above and 100.0 below.
A 3-touch support trendline broke and was retested — the line is now near 114.5.
A 1D close past 114.2 or 111.9 changes the picture.
A 1D close above 114.2 breaks the range's ceiling; no tested level above it on this chart.
A 1D close below 111.9 breaks the range's floor; no tested level below it on this chart.
Watch 116.2: a 1D close back over it undoes the move.
The common misread: calling the uptrend over before its last higher low breaks — the challenge only counts on a close through it.
Since the last read: the range from earlier today is still holding — unchanged.
| Level | Price | From price | Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2-TF resistance | 117.5 | +3.9% | confluent, order block |
| 2-TF resistance | 115.7 | +2.4% | confluent, calendar |
| Resistance | 114.5 | +1.3% | sr, swing |
| 3-TF resistance | 114.2 | +1.1% | confluent, calendar |
| Fib retracement | 112.6 | -0.4% | fib, sr |
| 2-TF support | 111.9 | -0.9% | confluent, order block |
| Golden pocket | 110.7 | -2.0% | golden pocket, poc |
| 3-TF support | 109.1 | -3.4% | confluent, fib |
| 2-TF support | 106.0 | -6.2% | confluent, calendar |
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