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XLM/USDT · 1D · 2 Nov 2026

Stellar (XLM) price analysis — daily chart

Stellar (XLM) is at 0.1673 on the 1D chart. XLM is in a range. There is no run of higher or lower swings to call a trend; price is boxed between 0.1667 and 0.1715.

No clean trend, at support — price broke below 0.1969

Where XLM is

A range — no side in control.

XLM is in a range. There is no run of higher or lower swings to call a trend; price is boxed between 0.1667 and 0.1715.

The weekly picture: a weekly downtrend, 79% under the all-time high; on the daily, price is below the 200-day (0.1835), and the 50-day is above the 200-day. The daily trend runs against the weekly.

Price broke below 0.1969 — the first sign the uptrend is ending. The break is the event; holding below 0.1969 on the next daily closes is what confirms it, and a close back over it would make it a failed break.

XLM rose 20% to 0.2371 on the daily chart, then gave it all back, dropping 33% to 0.1578. It is now pinned in a tight 0.1667–0.1715 band, pressing on the floor. The 0.1667 floor has caught price 4 times, counting all 2 timeframes.

The daily structure was an uptrend — higher highs and higher lows — until price closed under the 0.1969 higher low. An imbalance (fair value gap) sits below at 0.1514–0.1639 — a stretch price ran through one way, with little trade back and forth.

Trend change — just broken at 0.1969. It confirms if price stays below 0.1969. A close above 0.2027 cancels it.

Who's behind the move

Inside the box the evidence is split. On the buyers' side: MACD is above its signal line, so the latest swing has upward momentum of its own.

On the sellers' side: ADX is 28, a real trend, with sellers ahead (+DI 12, −DI 28). Price is under the average price paid since the swing low (anchored VWAP 0.1944), so the buyers since that low are under water. Price is under every average that matters: the Ichimoku cloud and the 200 EMA (the 20 under the 50). That split is what a range is: neither side has the evidence to take price out of it.

Everything else on the chart: RSI is 39: sellers have had the stronger closes. Everyone who bought since the last top is still losing (average since the swing high 0.1982). Volume flow is flat (CMF +0.00) — volume is not taking a side.

A high-volume price that price has not revisited (a naked POC) sits above at 0.2165; value is migrating down (-8.5%) — the prices where most volume trades are moving lower; price is spending time inside value — the market is accepting these prices.

The levels on the chart

0.1715 is the line it has to clear.

0.1715 is the ceiling, and it is contested: it held 10 of 17 visits, on 2.0× the usual volume. It is also the monthly open.

0.1694, a 0.618 retracement 1.3% above price: sellers turned price there on 8 of 16 visits, on 2.1× the usual volume; it lines up with the weekly open.

0.1684, a resistance 0.7% above price: sellers turned price there on 8 of 16 visits, on 2.0× the usual volume; it lines up with the weekly open.

The long-term lines: the 200-day average at 0.1835 (+9.7%), the 50-day average at 0.1934 (+15.6%), the yearly open at 0.2009 (+20.1%), the quarterly open at 0.2264 (+35.3%) and last year's range 0.1603–0.5205.

0.1667, the 2-TF support 0.4% below price: buyers turned price there on 12 of 20 visits, on 1.9× the usual volume; it lines up with the weekly open.

The last swing high at 0.1752, not yet taken — the kind of spot where stop orders usually sit just above.

The last swing low at 0.1525, not yet taken — stops sit just below.

0.1715 is the level on the most timeframes — 3 timeframes (1D/4H/1H), 2 touches; a high-volume node and resting liquidity sit at the same price.

Measured on the running drop from 0.2371 to 0.1578, price has given back 12% of it — a shallow bounce. The golden pocket, 0.2068–0.2093, is where the 0.618 retracement of that drop sits. Its extensions mark 0.1362 (1.272) and 0.1088 (1.618) below.

0.1857 is where two separate tools meet: the 0.382 Fibonacci level of the last swing and a resistance.

0.1558–0.1582 is a demand zone: price fell into it, paused, then rallied hard (3.4 average candles in one move); it has been tested 1× since.

0.2121–0.2168 is a fresh supply zone: price rallied into it, paused, then dropped hard (2.6 average candles in one move); price has not been back since.

The nearest round numbers: 0.1750 above and 0.1500 below.

A 3-touch support trendline just broke — the line is now near 0.2006.

What to watch

A 1D close past 0.1715 or 0.1667 changes the picture.

A 1D close above 0.1715 breaks the range's ceiling; no tested level above it on this chart.

A 1D close below 0.1668 breaks the range's floor; no tested level below it on this chart.

How to use it

Watch 0.1969: holding below it on the next 1D candles confirms the break.

Since the last read: the range from yesterday is still holding — unchanged.

Key levels

LevelPriceFrom priceRole
2-TF resistance0.1860+11.2%confluent, poc
2-TF resistance0.1743+4.2%confluent, order block
Fib retracement0.1720+2.8%fib, sr
3-TF resistance0.1715+2.5%confluent, hvn
Golden pocket0.1694+1.3%golden pocket, calendar
Resistance0.1684+0.7%calendar, fib
2-TF support0.1667-0.4%confluent, calendar
Order block0.1652-1.3%order block, sr
Support0.1603-4.2%sr, swing

Updated 2 Nov 2026. Run a live Stellar read →

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